Lafayette
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 79.0955Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 17-11 218 A Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 10-19 221 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 17-12 225 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 16- 7 301 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10- 7 307 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 7-18 311 N George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 13-15 314 A Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 10-12 321 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 13-20 327 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 6-22 401 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 7-16 410 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 8-15 415 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 1-24 418 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 10-12 422 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 11- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Merrimack 17-11 6 6 -0.13
218 A Columbia 10-19 -9 -6 - -3.34
221 H Mount St Marys 17-12 5 -1 +++ 6.18
225 H La Salle 16- 7 9 9 0.17
301 A Monmouth (NJ) 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.07
307 H Holy Cross 7-18 -11 -3 --- -7.85
311 N George Washington 13-15 -2 -1 -1.19
314 A Boston University 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 4.81
321 A Colgate 13-20 -7 -4 - -3.38
327 A Army 6-22 -16 -14 -0.27
401 H Loyola (MD) 7-16 -9 -9 0.07
410 A Bucknell 8-15 -7 -6 -0.70
415 H Navy 1-24 -23 -13 -1.44
418 H American 10-12 -2 2 - -3.63
422 A Lehigh 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Holy Cross 7-18 -11 -3 --- -7.85 218 A Columbia 10-19 -9 -6 - -3.34 321 A Colgate 13-20 -7 -4 - -3.38 418 H American 10-12 -2 2 - -3.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Mount St Marys 17-12 5 -1 +++ 6.18 301 A Monmouth (NJ) 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.07 314 A Boston University 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 4.81 422 A Lehigh 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 17-11 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 1.15 30.57
3 A Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 10-19 -16.51 23.66 1.37 1.15 -8.74
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 17-12 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 1.15 47.44
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 16- 7 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 1.15 24.33
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10- 7 -20.10 20.06 1.37 1.15 49.50
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 7-18 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.15 -10.20
3 N George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 13-15 -19.99 20.17 -0.00 1.15 -11.55
3 A Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 10-12 -15.36 24.81 1.37 1.15 -8.08
3 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 13-20 -18.56 21.61 1.37 1.15 -9.93
3 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 6-22 -8.45 31.72 1.37 1.15 -4.09
3 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 7-16 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 1.15 -6.78
3 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 8-15 -15.88 24.29 1.37 1.15 -8.38
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 1-24 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 1.15 -4.76
3 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 10-12 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 1.15 -12.95
3 A Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 11- 8 -19.54 20.63 1.37 1.15 50.81
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117.21
|
winning pts = 202.6546 losing points = -85.4421
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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